Publications

Urban Growth

Migration and resource misallocation in China

Xiaolu LI, Lin MA, and Yang TANG

We structurally estimate the firm-level frictions across prefectures in China and quantify their aggregate and distributional implications. Based on a general equilibrium model with input and output distortions and migration, we show that the firm-level frictions are less dispersed and less correlated with firm productivity in richer prefectures. Counterfactual exercises show that reducing the within-prefecture misallocation increases aggregate welfare, discourages migration toward large prefectures, and reduces spatial inequality. Moreover, internal migration alleviates micro-frictions’ impacts on aggregate welfare and worsens their effects on spatial inequality.

LI, Xiaolu; MA, Lin; and TANG, Yang. Migration and resource misallocation in China. (2024). Journal of Development Economics. 167, 1-15.

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Urban Life

Forests are chill: The interplay between thermal comfort and mental wellbeing

Loïc Gillerot, Kevin Rozario, Pieter De Frenne, Rachel Oh, Quentin Ponette, Aletta Bonn, Winston Chow, Douglas Godbold, Matthias Steinparzer, Daniela Haluza, Dries Landuyt, Bart Muys, Kris Verheyen
 

As global warming and urbanisation intensify unabated, a growing share of the human population is exposed to dangerous heat levels. Trees and forests can effectively mitigate such heat alongside numerous health co-benefits like improved mental wellbeing. Yet, which forest types are objectively and subjectively coolest to humans, and how thermal and mental wellbeing interact, remain understudied. We surveyed 223 participants in peri-urban forests with varying biodiversity levels in Austria, Belgium and Germany. Using microclimate sensors, questionnaires and saliva cortisol measures, we monitored intra-individual changes in thermal and mental states from non-forest baseline to forest conditions. Forests reduced daytime modified Physiologically Equivalent Temperature (mPET; an indicator for perceived temperature) by an average of 9.2 °C. High diversity forests were the coolest, likely due to their higher stand density. Forests also lowered thermal sensation votes, with only 1 % of participants feeling ‘warm’ or ‘hot’ compared to 34 % under baseline conditions. Despite the desire for a temperature increase among 47 % participants under cool forest conditions, approximately two-thirds still reported feeling very comfortable, in contrast to only one-third under baseline conditions. Even at a constant perceived temperature, participants were 2.7 times more likely to feel warmer under baseline conditions compared to forests. A forest-induced psychological effect may underlie these discrepancies, as supported by significant improvements in positive and negative affect (emotional state), state anxiety and perceived stress observed in forests. Additionally, thermal and mental wellbeing were significantly correlated, indicating that forest environments might foster a synergy in wellbeing benefits.

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Urban Life

Island platforms and the hyper-terrestrialisation of Singapore’s smart city-state

Orlando WOODS, Tim BUNNELL, and Lily KONG

This paper foregrounds the importance of underlying territorial formations in realising a vision of the smart city. It argues that as a political technology of the state, territory should be understood as a platform upon which data works and the smart city unfolds. In this view, island territories – of which bordered city-states like Singapore provide paradigmatic examples – provide an integral, yet hitherto unexplored, component in the realisation of urban ‘smartness’. We illustrate these theoretical arguments through an analysis of how the territorial constraints that characterise Singapore’s island platform enable the state to accurately and effectively realise its vision of a smart city. As both an island city and a city-state, Singapore’s territory is a political technology that is just as important in realising the state’s vision of smartness as the adoption of digital technologies and the management of data. Drawing on 27 interviews with 31 architects of Singapore’s Smart Nation, we empirically explore the integration of data, city and territory through the platform; the ‘hardness’ of data and the ‘softness’ of the city; and the hyper-terrestrialisation of ‘smartness’ in Singapore. Overall, we demonstrate how the idea of territory as a platform provides a generative counterpoint to critiques of platform urbanism.

Orlando Woods, Tim Bunnell & Lily Kong (2024) Island platforms and the hyper-terrestrialisation of Singapore’s smart city-state, Territory, Politics, Governance, DOI: 10.1080/21622671.2024.2317211

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Urban Infrastructure

Assessing impact of urban densification on outdoor microclimate and thermal comfort using ENVI-met simulations for Combined Spatial-Climatic Design (CSCD) approach

Shreya BANERJEE, Rachel PEK Xin Yi, Sin Kang YIK, Graces CHING NY, HO Xiang Tian, Yuliya DZYUBAN, Peter J. CRANK, Juan A. Acero, Winston T.L. CHOW

Future urban planning requires context-specific integration of spatial design and microclimate especially for tropical cities with extreme weather conditions. Thus, we propose a Combined Spatial-Climatic Design approach to assess impact of urban densification on annual outdoor thermal comfort performance employing ENVI-met simulations for Singapore. We first consider building bylaws and residential site guidelines to develop eight urban-density site options for a target population range. We further classify annual weather data into seven weather-types and use them as boundary conditions for the simulations. Comparing such fifty-six combined spatial-climatic simulation outputs by analyzing Outdoor Thermal Comfort Autonomy, we report the influence of site geometry is nominal on air temperatures but significant for mean radiant temperatures and physiological equivalent temperatures. Neighborhoods with taller (20% increase in mean height) buildings and narrower footprints exhibit better thermal performance compared to short and wider (12-58% decrease in mean width) buildings, due to less radiative heat gain during solar noon. For a high density tropical urban context, like Singapore with high sun angle and solar radiation, mutual shading and presence of wind enhances thermal comfort. Results provide useful and actionable recommendations on ideal building profile for heat responsive neighborhoods in low-latitude hot-humid cities similar to Singapore.

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Urban Life

Reducing urban overheating risks through climate-resilient development in the warming tropics

Winston CHOW
 

More frequent heat extremes, combined with rapidly developing settlements in the tropics, result in complex climate-driven risks emerging in cities within these regions. Urban policymakers can successfully manage these urban heat risks via climate resilient development, in which sustainability is aligned with current climate adaptation and mitigation goals.

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Urban Growth

The distributional impacts of transportation networks in China

Lin MA and Tang YANG

This paper evaluates the distributional impacts of transportation networks in China.We show that the quality of roads and railroads vary substantially over time and space, and ignoring these variations biases the estimates of travel time. To account for quality differences, we construct a new panel dataset and approximate quality using the design speed of roads and railroads that varies by vintage, class, and terrain at the pixel level. We then build a dynamic spatial general equilibrium model that allows for multiple modes and routes of transportation and forward-looking migration decision.We find aggregate welfare gain and less spatial income inequality led by expanding transportation network.

MA, Lin and YANG, Tang. The distributional impacts of transportation networks in China. (2023). 1-82.

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Urban Growth

Promoting ethnic diversity in public housing: Singapore and England compared

Edward TI and Alvin W. L. SEE

Purpose: Although the Singapore model of ethnic integration through its public housing programme is well known, the formula for replicating its success elsewhere remains underexplored. This study aims to identify the criteria for successful transplantation, specifically by identifying the housing tenure types that are most amenable to the implementation of the Singapore model. Design/methodology/approach: Through a comparative study of two common law jurisdictions – Singapore and England – this article highlights the differences in their housing landscapes and how such differences impact upon the adoption of ethnic integration policies through housing. The article also unpacks, through a cross-disciplinary lens, the concepts of public housing and housing tenures, drawing heavily on socio-legal and housing literature. Findings: The authors observe that the implementation of ethnic integration policies is best justified and most easily achieved in leasehold estates that exhibit a strong tenurial relationship with the state retaining a more than notional role. Public housing in Singapore being an exemplar of this model, the implementation of its ethnic integration policy is relatively straightforward. By contrast, the shrinking public housing sector in England means that adoption of a similar policy would have limited reach. Even then, the political–legal environment in England that promotes home ownership is potentially hostile to the adoption of such policy as it may be seen as an infringement of private property right. Originality/value: The cross-jurisdiction comparison is supplemented by an interdisciplinary analysis that seeks to bridge differences in the categorisation of tenure in housing and law literatures so as to promote cross-disciplinary dialogue.

TI, Seng Wei, Edward and SEE, Alvin W. L.. Promoting ethnic diversity in public housing: Singapore and England compared. (2023). Journal of Property, Planning and Environmental Law.

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Urban Growth

Compensation Thresholds for Collective Sales: Singapore & Australia Compared

Edward TI

Strata titles are a critically important Australian legal export. New South Wales’ (NSW) strata legislation has been particularly influential, having been adopted in numerous jurisdictions, including Singapore in 1967. As a statutory framework, strata law solves the problem of ‘floating freeholds’ by creating indefeasible ownership of individual units in a building, guides owners in managing the development, and sets out the dispute resolution process when disagreements occur.

In an increasing number of jurisdictions (including Singapore and three states in Australia), strata legislation also enables the strata scheme to be terminated and sold for redevelopment where the requisite majority, as opposed to an unanimity of subsidiary proprietors’ consent to the sale. Strata law imposes compensation thresholds that must minimally be paid to dissenting owners. In Singapore, the rule is that no minority owner should suffer a ‘financial loss,’ while in NSW and Western Australia (WA), this amount is pegged to what the owner would theoretically have obtained had the unit been acquired compulsorily by the state. In this article, I compare strata law in Singapore, NSW, and WA in relation to compensation thresholds and explain why the Australian market value standard should also be adequate to compensate unit owners in Singapore.

Ti, Edward Seng Wei. "Compensation Thresholds for Collective Sales: Singapore & Australia Compared." Asian Journal of Comparative Law 18, no. 3 (2023): 345-61. doi:10.1017/asjcl.2023.21.

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Urban Growth

Young Women in Cities: Urbanization and Gender-biased Migration

Yumi KOH, Li JING, Yifan WU, Junjian YI, and Hanzhe ZHANG

Young women outnumber young men in cities in many countries during periods of economic growth and urbanization. This gender imbalance among young urbanites is more pronounced in larger cities. We use the gradual rollout of special economic zones across China as a quasi-experiment to establish the causes of this gender imbalance. Our analysis suggests that a key contributor is gender-differential incentives to migrate due to rural women’s higher likelihood of marrying and marrying up in cities when urbanization creates more economic opportunities and an abundance of high-income marriage-age men.

Koh, Yumi and Li, Jing and Wu, Yifan and Yi, Junjian and Zhang, Hanzhe, Young Women in Cities: Urbanization and Gender-biased Migration (January 4, 2024).

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Urban Life

Insourcing the smart city: assembling an ideo-technical ecosystem of skills, talent, and civic-mindedness in Singapore

Orlando WOODS, Tim BUNNELL, and Lily KONG

This article examines an alternative model of smart city formation, one based on the principle of insourcing technical competencies and capabilities to those responsible for city governance. This model counters the logic of technological outsourcing upon which many assumptions and critiques of the smart city rest, and thus reveals ways in which a more generative discourse can be forged. Drawing on a series of in-depth interviews with senior stakeholders from public and private sector organizations, we develop a case study of Singapore’s Smart Nation initiative. Through coordinated efforts to reorganize the public sector’s technological functions, develop nation-wide skills upgrading programs, and repatriate overseas tech talent, the government strives to assemble an ideo-technical ecosystem of talent, skills, and civic-mindedness in Singapore. This is an ecosystem designed to establish the public sector as the driver of urban innovation, and thus maximize the benefits of “civic tech”.

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